Grant Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 24.1 rate, Grant Williams's playing time has jumped this year to 28.4 minutes per game.
The 7th-speediest pace team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.
The Mavericks will likely see an increase in plays in this game from facing the 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).
Grant Williams figures to see a spike in production in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
The Lakers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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