Grant Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has averaged 1.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.7 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
Grant Williams has been on the court for an impressive 28.4 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 24.1 minutes per game last season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).
Grant Williams will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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