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Grant Williams

Grant Williams Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Grant Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Grant Williams has tallied 2.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year at home.

Grant Williams has tallied a whopping 29.1 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 24.1 minutes per game last season.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Houston Rockets have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Grant Williams will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Grant Williams has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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