Grant Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:50 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 24.1 clip, Grant Williams's playing time has increased this year to 28.4 minutes per game.
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Pelicans).

Favors Under

Grant Williams has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 0.1 technicals per game last season.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 5thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Without the home court advantage, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (16.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally lowers player production for all stats.

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