Grant Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 1:48 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 24.1 mark, Grant Williams's playing time has jumped this year to 31.0 minutes per game.
The 7th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
Grant Williams will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-least up-tempo tempo in the league at home this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 4thworst in in the league while playing at home with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are at home, their opposition has secured 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the Clippers (continuing possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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