Grant Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 9.9 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Grant Williams slots into the 76th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.3 fouls per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with a mere 7.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Grant Williams figures to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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