Grant Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 12:52 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has totaled 4.5 defensive rebounds per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.
Away from their home court, the Chicago Bulls have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams will likely see a spike in performance for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league since the start of last season.
The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo road team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 7.7 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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