Grant Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +116 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has tallied 3.6 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric in recent days.
The Boston Celtics have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile).
The 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The 76ers have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 7 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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