Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/23/2024

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 23, 2024

Updated Nov 24, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Brook Lopez is a positive one for three-point attempts; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game (96th percentile).
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Grant Williams has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
With respect to offense, the Charlotte Hornets's poor 103.2 points per game while on the road rates 5th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Brook Lopez has been remarkably low this year (1.8 free throw attempts per game: 7th percentile).
Grant Williams will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player production in all stat categories.

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