Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The number of threes converted against Rudy Gobert has been very high (1.0 per game) when he is playing at home and squaring off against fellow starting Cs since the start of last season (100th percentile).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Rudy Gobert has been very high (3.8 foul shots per game) when facing opposing starting Cs since the start of last season (85th percentile).

Favors Under

Grant Williams has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (96th percentile).
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Charlotte Hornets.
The Hornets check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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