Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 5, 2024 11:10 PM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has attempted 10.5 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the league, Grant Williams ranks in the 76th percentile for three-point shots made, logging 1.6 per game this year.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against Wendell Carter Jr. is a good one for field goals; when Carter Jr. is away from his home court opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted a colossal 65.4% of their field goal attempts (100th percentile).
Grant Williams figures to see a rise in production in all stat categories due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Grant Williams lands in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.8 fouls per game at home this year.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Orlando Magic have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to reduce plays for the Hornets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Hornets rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
The faceoff with Wendell Carter Jr. in regard to getting to the free-throw line ranks in the 23rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting only 3.1 foul shots per game this year.