Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2024

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 11, 2024

Updated Mar 12, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has made 56.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 14.8% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Grant Williams has successfully made 44.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 10.3% more than he's made overall this season.
Grant Williams has averaged 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road over the last 15 games has been the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Favors Under

Grant Williams has been called for 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 3.0 3-point attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Pistons, branding this as a tough matchup.
The Hornets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Hornets check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player performance in all stat categories.

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