Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Grant Williams places in the 80th percentile for field goal proficiency while playing at home with a a terrific 54.1% rate this year.
Grant Williams has successfully made 1.7 threes per game this year, placing him in the 78th percentile among all players in the league.
In terms of three-pointers, the Hornets's superb 38.7% rate of sunk threes while on their home court places 8th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Orlando Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing squads have averaged 38.8% on threes (8th-best in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Magic have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Hornets rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
This year, their opposition has attempted 23.2 free throws per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, easily managing to get to the foul line.