Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bucks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games on the road, which ought to raise opportunities for the Hornets.
Away from their home court, the Bucks have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams has made 90.4% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 16.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have attempted 15.6 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Bucks, struggling to get to the foul line.
Grant Williams will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to raise stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has successfully made 40.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.5% lower than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while at home.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a good one; they have given up the 9th-most points per game in the league to opposing clubs this year (117.7).
The 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Hornets check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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