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Grant Williams

Grant Williams Points
Player Prop - 2/3/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-127/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a positive one for threes; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 24th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.8).

The 8th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Mavericks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Bucks).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

The Milwaukee Bucks have allowed the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Grant Williams has failed to convert 2.9 3-point attempts per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.1 mark last year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Grant Williams measures in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 3.0 fouls per game this year.

The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (13th-least in the NBA).

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