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Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+108/-132).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -132.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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When it comes to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's impressive 118.7 points per game ranks 7th-highest in the league this year.This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, resulting in a strong matchup.The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.This year, opposing clubs have secured 9.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).Grant Williams has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 31.5% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Grant Williams has sunk 39.5% of his field goals on his home court this year, ranking him in the 25th percentile out of all players in the NBA.Among all players in the NBA, Grant Williams comes in at the 94th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game this year.The Mavericks have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Kings, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
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