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Grant Williams

Grant Williams Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Grant Williams has converted an impressive 2.0 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.4 rate last season.

In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 116.9 points per game while on the road measures as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Grant Williams has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled 14.5 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive productivity.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 10th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have nabbed 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (retaining possessions that can lead to more chances for offense).

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