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Grant Williams

Grant Williams Points
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Grant Williams has made 2.2 treys per game this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA.

When it comes to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 119.3 points per game on the road places 5th-best in the NBA this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league while playing on the road this year.

Grant Williams has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 23.6% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Grant Williams places in the 81st percentile for technical fouls, tallying an enormous 0.1 fouls per game away from home this year.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 3.7 3-point attempts per game (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, labeling this as a hard matchup.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the league with just 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The Denver Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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