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Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Relative to last season's 3.5 clip, Grant Williams's three-point attempts have risen this season to 5.7 per game.Grant Williams has played an impressive 29.0 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 24.1 minutes per game last year.The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.On the road, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Grant Williams rates in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.7 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 5.3 field goals per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, branding this as a difficult matchup.The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).Among all players in the league, Grant Williams comes in at the 12th percentile for free-throw proficiency on the road with a a weak 58.3% rate this year.
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