Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 5.6 mark, Grant Williams's shots have risen this season to 7.7 per game.
Grant Williams has successfully made a terrific 2.3 three-pointers per game this season, significantly more than his 1.4 rate last season.
Compared to last year's 24.1 rate, Grant Williams's playing time has jumped this year to 28.4 minutes per game.
The Mavericks have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 5.5 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, making this a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
The Lakers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 3.3 free throws per game this year when the Lakers are away from home (9th-least in the league).

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