Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 5.6 mark, Grant Williams's shots have risen this season to 7.8 per game.
Grant Williams has successfully made a whopping 2.4 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly more than his 1.4 rate last year.
In comparison to last season's 24.1 rate, Grant Williams's playing time has spiked this season to 28.5 minutes per game.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year.
The matchup against Oklahoma is a good one for 3-point attempts; when the Thunder are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 28th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.5).

Favors Under

Grant Williams has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 10thworst in in the league while playing at home with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 14.0 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).

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