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Grant Williams

Grant Williams Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-133/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Grant Williams has converted a whopping 2.6 three-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.4 rate last season.

In comparison to last season's 24.0 clip, Grant Williams's playing time has spiked this season to 30.9 minutes per game.

With respect to shooting, the Mavericks's exceptional 122.8 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-best in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Lakers are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Grant Williams has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.

The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Lakers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

In comparison to last year's 75.6% mark, Grant Williams's free-throw proficiency has dropped this year to 53.1%.

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (13th-lowest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, struggling to get to the foul line.

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