Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has compiled an impressive 11.4 points per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 7.6 points per game last year.
Grant Williams has sunk a terrific 2.8 3-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 1.4 rate last year.
Relative to last season's 24.1 mark, Grant Williams's playing time has surged this season to 29.2 minutes per game.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league on the road this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have logged 20.3 points per game (27th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, branding this as a good matchup for offensive effectiveness.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 10thworst in in the league while on their home court with only 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Kings, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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