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Grant Williams

Grant Williams Points
Player Prop - 11/10/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Grant Williams has scored a terrific 14.0 points per game this season, significantly higher than his 7.6 points per game last season.

Compared to last season's 1.4 rate, Grant Williams's three-point shots made have jumped this season to 3.4 per game.

In contrast to last year's 24.1 mark, Grant Williams's playing time has jumped this year to 31.0 minutes per game.

In terms of offense, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 120.1 points per game as the away team places 4th-highest in the league this year.

This matchup is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have shot for the 7th-lowest three percentage in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (33.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Grant Williams has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on field goal attempts (7th-weakest in the NBA) against the Clippers, marking this as a hard matchup.

The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-least up-tempo tempo in the league at home this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 4thworst in in the league while playing at home with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.

This year when they are at home, their opposition has secured 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the Clippers (continuing possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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