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Grant Williams

Grant Williams Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Grant Williams has successfully made 59.2% of his field goal attempts with the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Grant Williams has sunk 37.0% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

The 8th-quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, their opposition has collected 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Grant Williams has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors is a hard one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs since the start of last season (13.8).

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the Raptors).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 7.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Over the last 7 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.0 free throws per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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