Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 5/21/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 21, 2023

Updated May 22, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 24.4% higher than he's made in all games this year.
This matchup is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a lowly 20.2 free throws per game when the Heat are on their home court this year (least in the league).

Favors Under

Grant Williams has attempted 3.5 field goals per game over the last 15 games, -2.2 less than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Grant Williams has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (78th percentile).
This matchup is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Heat are at home, their opposition have tallied the 2nd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA against them this year (13.3).
The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

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