Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has converted 54.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league while playing at home this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
Away from home, the Raptors have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Raptors may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a mere 19.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (5th-least in the league).

Favors Under

Grant Williams has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
This matchup is a positive one for threes; opposing squads have put up the highest three rate in the league over the last 10 games while on the road (42.9%).
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to reduce possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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