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Grant Williams

Grant Williams Points
Player Prop - 3/30/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Grant Williams has attempted 5.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing teams have put up the lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.3%).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Celtics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Grant Williams has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile).

The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

The Bucks have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Grant Williams has successfully made 40.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, -37.6% less than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Grant Williams will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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