Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has sunk 39.3% of his treys at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Hornets have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Celtics.
The matchup vs. P.J. Washington is a positive one for getting to the foul line; when matched up against fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.7 free throws per game (83rd percentile).
Grant Williams will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has made 35.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, -10.5% less than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Grant Williams has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.2 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a challenging one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 22nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league over the last 20 games when the Hornets are away from home (37.0%).
The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Boston Celtics have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).