Grant Williams Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 1:34 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 1.4 rate, Grant Williams's three-point shots made have jumped this season to 3.4 per game.
In contrast to last year's 24.1 mark, Grant Williams's playing time has jumped this year to 31.0 minutes per game.
The Mavericks rank as the most aggressive offense in the NBA as the away team this year when it comes to three-point attempts.
This matchup is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have shot for the 7th-lowest three percentage in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (33.3%).
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (27th-most in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, making this a good matchup.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-least up-tempo tempo in the league at home this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 4thworst in in the league while playing at home with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are at home, their opposition has secured 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the Clippers (continuing possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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