Grant Williams Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.
Since the start of last season, opposing teams have captured 9.0 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Grant Williams has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 23.6% on three-pointers (12th-worst in the NBA) against the Magic, branding this as a tough matchup.
The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance across the board.

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