Grant Williams Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 10th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have nabbed 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (retaining possessions that can lead to more chances for offense).
Grant Williams will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to lower player production in all facets of the game.

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