Gradey Dick Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2025

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Gradey Dick

NBA · Player Props

Gradey Dick

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Feb 21, 2025

Updated Feb 22, 2025 2:34 AM UTC

Analysis

Gradey Dick Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 4.0 rate, Gradey Dick's shots from behind the three-point arc have jumped this year to 6.2 per game.
Gradey Dick has tallied an impressive 29.6 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 21.2 minutes per game last year.
The matchup against the Heat is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Gradey Dick has successfully made a whopping 2.6 free throws per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 0.7 mark last season.

Favors Under

The Raptors have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The 7th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a decline in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Heat).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Heat, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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