Gradey Dick Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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Gradey Dick

NBA · Player Props

Gradey Dick

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Gradey Dick Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gradey Dick has successfully made 48.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.2% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Gradey Dick rates in the 78th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 30.2 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
The Raptors will likely get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
The Raptors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Toronto Raptors's subpar 104.8 points per game while at home settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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