Gradey Dick Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2025

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Gradey Dick

NBA · Player Props

Gradey Dick

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 8, 2025

Updated Jan 9, 2025 4:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Gradey Dick Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gradey Dick has attempted 14.2 shots from the field per game this year, a big improvement over his 7.4 rate last year.
Gradey Dick has attempted 7.0 three-pointers per game this season, significantly more than his 4.0 rate last season.
Gradey Dick has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The matchup vs. New York is a good one; when the Knicks are on their home court, they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (21.5).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Gradey Dick has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (80th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Knicks).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
Gradey Dick will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually reduces player performance for all stats.

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