Gradey Dick Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2024

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Gradey Dick

NBA · Player Props

Gradey Dick

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 16, 2024

Updated Nov 17, 2024 1:24 AM UTC

Analysis

Gradey Dick Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Gradey Dick ranks in the 87th percentile for shots taken, putting up 15.4 per game this year.
Gradey Dick has successfully made an impressive 2.5 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 1.5 mark last season.
Gradey Dick has played 32.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 80th percentile.
The matchup against Boston is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Celtics are at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.8).
The rate of shots from downtown drained against Jaylen Brown has been very high (42.1%) when squaring off against other starting SGs this year (86th percentile).

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Raptors's subpar 98.6 points per game rates weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
The 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league in their home city this year, which should decrease possessions for the Raptors.
The matchup against Boston may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Celtics have the home court advantage (least in the league).
Gradey Dick will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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