Gradey Dick Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2024

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Gradey Dick

NBA · Player Props

Gradey Dick

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 1, 2024

Updated Nov 1, 2024 11:39 PM UTC

Analysis

Gradey Dick Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raptors have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should lead to more plays for the Raptors.
The Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Gradey Dick slots into the 94th percentile for foul-shot efficiency at home with a phenomenal 92.7% rate since the start of last season.
Gradey Dick is expected to see a spike in productivity in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

In terms of 3-pointers, the Toronto Raptors's poor 10.5 converted threes per game with the home court advantage settles in as the lowest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 6th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.7).
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.7 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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