Gordon Hayward Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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Gordon Hayward

NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has compiled 3.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 80th percentile.
Gordon Hayward has averaged 31.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA while on the road this year.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gordon Hayward has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year on the road.
On their home court, the Pistons have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gordon Hayward will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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