Gordon Hayward Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Gordon Hayward

NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has compiled 3.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 80th percentile.
Gordon Hayward has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gordon Hayward has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's committed over the course of the year on the road.
The Knicks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Hornets.
Gordon Hayward will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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