Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Gordon Hayward

NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 4, 2024 2:32 AM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Gordon Hayward lands in the 76th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 29.0 minutes per game this year.
In terms of shooting, the Thunder's stellar 124.6 points per game places 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against the Suns is a difficult one for field goals; opposing teams have put up the 4th-lowest Field Goal% in the league over the last 15 games (44.9%).
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from facing the 2nd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 47.3% clip, Gordon Hayward's field goal effectiveness has decreased this season to 40.5%.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Suns have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Gordon Hayward will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player performance for all stats.

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