Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:10 AM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has converted 52.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 7.3% more than he's converted in all games this season.
Gordon Hayward has converted 51.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 16.5% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Gordon Hayward measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 32.3 minutes per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Gordon Hayward rates in the 79th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, posting a massive 3.0 foul shot attempts per game at home this year.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.7 free throws per game this year (28th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Over the last 25 games, opposing starting SGs have registered 15.6 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive output.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Charlotte Hornets.
The Hornets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).