Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has attempted 14.4 field goals per game this year, quite a bit more than his 11.9 rate last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Gordon Hayward registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 32.0 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.7 3-point attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 13thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 13.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the Charlotte Hornets's lackluster 108.8 points per game measures as the 8th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
This matchup is a strong one for scoring; when the Heat are away from home, opposing teams have compiled the highest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (51.6%).
The least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
Gordon Hayward has converted a measly 67.4% of his free throws this season, a significant dropoff from his 77.5 mark last season.
The matchup vs. Miami is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.7 foul shots per game this year when the Miami Heat are away from home (12th-least in the league).