Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 10:08 PM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has averaged 31.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 9 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).
In contrast to last year's 82.2% mark, Gordon Hayward's free-throw efficiency has surged this year to 84.0%.

Favors Under

Gordon Hayward has successfully made a mere 34.7% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 48.6 rate last season.
Gordon Hayward has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.6 fouls per game last season.
The Hornets check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.
The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one; when the Timberwolves are at home, they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (12.8).
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game this year when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on the road (8th-least in the NBA).