Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Boston Celtics · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has played 31.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.4).
The Hornets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Gordon Hayward will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally increases player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Gordon Hayward has sunk a mere 35.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, a sizeable decrease from his 48.6 mark last year.
In regard to shooting, the Charlotte Hornets's unimpressive 109.1 points per game away from home comes in as the 6th-worst in the NBA this year.
The 9th-slowest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hornets.
The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Charlotte Hornets.
Gordon Hayward has missed 1.0 foul shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 0.6 rate last season.