Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has attempted 11.7 shots from the field per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Gordon Hayward has played 31.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the league: 82nd percentile.
The Hornets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Gordon Hayward places in the 81st percentile for foul shots drained, logging a massive 2.4 per game since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (21st-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The Charlotte Hornets have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 1.6 three-pointers per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Gordon Hayward will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.