Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2023

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Gordon Hayward

NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 23, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 9:36 PM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has attempted 11.5 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.
Gordon Hayward has averaged 31.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should raise plays for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gordon Hayward has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a hard one; when the Pelicans are on their home court, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (12.6).
The matchup vs. the Pelicans may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.5 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the NBA).
Gordon Hayward will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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