Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 9:11 PM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-102/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has sunk 39.6% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.
Gordon Hayward has tallied 30.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gordon Hayward has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Cavaliers is a difficult one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 14th-least three-pointers per game in the league this year (1.4).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce possessions for the Hornets.
As a team, the Charlotte Hornets have been bad at getting to the free throw line in recent games: 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games while at home, drawing just 17.4 foul shot attempts per game.