Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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Gordon Hayward

NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has made 50.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 5.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while on the road.
Gordon Hayward has averaged 31.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA while on the road this year.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gordon Hayward has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year on the road.
The matchup against the Pistons is a challenging one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (11.0).
On their home court, the Pistons have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Gordon Hayward will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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