Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Gordon Hayward

NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

New York Knicks vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has sunk 50.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 5.7% more than he's converted in all games this season away from his home court.
Gordon Hayward has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile.
The matchup against the Knicks is a strong one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (16.7).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Gordon Hayward has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's committed over the course of the year on the road.
The Knicks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Hornets.
Gordon Hayward will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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