Gordon Hayward Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

NBA · Player Props

Gordon Hayward

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Gordon Hayward Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gordon Hayward has converted 39.6% of his three-point attempts this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Gordon Hayward has tallied 30.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should increase plays for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Gordon Hayward has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.2% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Magic is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.
While on the road, the Magic have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Charlotte Hornets have been bad at drawing fouls in recent games: 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, drawing a mere 17.4 free throws per game.
The matchup against Orlando may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 0.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Magic are the visiting squad (14th-least in the NBA).